January 10, 2012 New Hampshire prediction
If you look at tracking polls [at RealClearPolitics] it looks like Romney still has a significant lead but is losing ground a bit. I think he wins but not by more than 10 pts or so.
More interesting question: who finishes second? Huntsman has been gaining some ground. My guess is second place will be Paul/Huntsman photo finish, though I would give the edge to Paul since his voters tend to be more enthuasiastic.
If Hunstman is a clear third then I think he is out; NH is where he has invested everything. If he is second he has an excuse to keep going. But if he doesn’t capitalize on his NH showing to do well in SC or Fla. then he is out.