September 10, 2012 OK, so I was wrong
Both Rasmussen and Gallup show that Obama is far ahead of where he was before the conventions, indicating that the Dem convention helped him far more than the Republican convention helped Romney.
I am quite surprised; after listening to Obama’s acceptance speech, I thought to myself: “Now, the secret is out. Obama has no positive message whatsoever on the economy. Surely, this is the beginning of the end for the Obama Presidency.”
I suspect that Obama’s bump will gradually decline over September, and that the race will be a dead heat again when the debates start in October. But in the meantime, color me surprised.